Euro 2020: Betting preview and selections for Super Saturday featuring France, Germany, Portugal and Spain
Saturday sees Hungary, France, Portugal, Germany, Spain and Poland all play their second group games of Euro 2020.
The pick of the matches is holders Portugal against Germany in Munich at 5pm with Germany looking to respond to their defeat against France Portugal took a while to break down a resilient and combative Hungary team but eventually won 3-0. Cristiano Ronaldo became the tournament’s record goalscorer by converting a penalty and then finishing off a wonderful combination between him and Benfica’s Rafa Silva.
The early kick-off at 2pm sees France against Hungary as the favourites for the whole competition play a side who get the luxury of home advantage in Budapest. France will be aiming to take maximum points from their first two games while if the Hungarians manage to pull off the unthinkable and get a draw, they can play Germany in their third tie dreaming of the last 16.
The noise and incredible atmosphere in Budapest last Tuesday permeated through TV screens across the continent as the sound of over 60,000 supporters rang out. This was the first time many football fans would have heard a stadium at full capacity and even though Hungary will have been disappointed to fade in that game against the Portuguese, they know they’ll be fully backed by that wall of sound. France will be aware of this but manager Didier Deschamps will know his side has enough experience to navigate their way through hostile surroundings.
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France are unsurprisingly favourites for the contest at 3/10 with Hungary looking to pull off the shock of this and any Euros by defeating Les Bleus and are fancied at 10/1. They very nearly did execute an upset against Portugal with FC Dallas winger Szabolcs Schon scoring at 0-0 only to have his goal correctly ruled out for offside. Schon came on for Roland Sallai in the 77th minute and will try to have that same impact with odds at 9/1 to score anytime. Sallai himself should be a guaranteed striker and one of Hungary’s more experienced players after three seasons in the Bundesliga for Freiburg. He’s 6/1 to open his account for the tournament.
France’s ‘Three Musketeers’ in Kylian Mbappe, Karim Benzema and Antoine Griezmann should all feature even though there will be competition for places. Mbappe is just ahead of Benzema to score anytime at 10/11 but the Real Madrid forward isn’t far behind at 21/20. Paul Pogba is 13/5 to find his first Euros goal since a header in the quarter-finals of Euro 2016 against Iceland. Pogba’s positional change for France compared to his one for Manchester United is clear from the Germany game in which he’s able to move higher up the pitch to link with France’s front three.
Germany aren’t the force they were and will be going into future World Cups and Euro competitions but they performed as well as can be expected against France in their opening game. Serge Gnabry’s volley in the 54th minute was their best chance but they had more attempts than their opponents over the 90 minutes. A narrow loss to Portugal would not necessarily mean Germany were out of the tournament as a big win vs Hungary in Matchday 3 could mean they finish as one of the best third placed teams.
Portugal needed some slight fortune to beat Hungary with Raphael Guerrero’s shot taking a big deflection to go 1-0 up in Budapest. But there was nothing lucky about their following two goals, one a blatant penalty and the other a well worked passing move both scored by Ronaldo. Rafa Silva made an excellent case to start after winning the foul for the penalty and linking up with Ronaldo. Ronaldo is 6/4 to score anytime with Silva 6/1 but the 28-year-old is unlikely to start and get ahead of the Premier League midfield trio of Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva and Diogo Jota.
Despite the Germans’ defeat to France they are slight favourites at 5/4 with the game being played in Munich an advantage. Joachim Low has options and could look to bring in Timo Werner at 15/8 to score throughout the game and Leroy Sane would also produce the dynamism that could open up a tight Portuguese defence. Ex-Manchester City player Sane is 3/1 to score anytime. Portugal are 9/4 but have already come through that overwhelmingly partisan support in Budapest so can handle this sort of occasion.
Spain are hoping that their 0-0 draw with Sweden was just a blip although their struggles in front of goal has been a pattern under manager Luis Enrique. Occasionally they do dominate a side like their 6-0 thrashing of Germany in November 2020 but all too often their profligacy has let them down. This hasn’t been the case for Robert Lewandowski in the Bundesliga this season who has broken records and cemented his reputation as the best centre-forward in world football.
However the Bayern Munich striker now has a record of two goals across four major international tournaments which is bizarre given his generational talent. Lewandowski is 12/5 to score anytime. He’ll need help from elsewhere and Torino’s Karol Linetty did find the equaliser against Slovakia and is 20/1 to continue that sort of form against La Roja. Midfielder Mateusz Klich of Leeds United has slightly better odds of 8/1 in the same market.
There are calls in the Spanish media for Villarreal’s Gerard Moreno to replace Alvaro Morata for this game. The Europa League winner who scored in the final against Manchester United is 11/10 to find the net and nearly scored against Sweden with a flicked header that was well saved. Dani Olmo looked dangerous enough to keep his place in Enrique’s side especially in the first half and is 7/4 to get his fourth goal for his country.
Odds and Euros tips via bettingexpert.com.