Where Doncaster Rovers are predicted to finish in League One - according to data gurus FiveThirtyEight

Football data and analysis is becoming more and more sophisticated and the Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings from FiveThirtyEight are as complex as they come.
By Paul Goodwin
Published 7th Nov 2019, 11:40 BST
Updated 7th Nov 2019, 11:41 BST
Kieran Sadlier's shot is saved by Burton's Kieran O'Hara but put into his own goal by Kieran Wallace during last weekend's 2-2 draw. Photo: Jonathan Gawthorpe.Kieran Sadlier's shot is saved by Burton's Kieran O'Hara but put into his own goal by Kieran Wallace during last weekend's 2-2 draw. Photo: Jonathan Gawthorpe.
Kieran Sadlier's shot is saved by Burton's Kieran O'Hara but put into his own goal by Kieran Wallace during last weekend's 2-2 draw. Photo: Jonathan Gawthorpe.

However, the results – generated via a gigantic database of match data which is used to then forecast the results of individual matches and entire seasons – make for fascinating reading.

FiveThirtyEight’s calculations currently predict that Doncaster Rovers will just miss out on the League One play-offs by finishing seventh in the table.

How FiveThirtyEight’s Club Soccer Predictions Work

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Rovers will accumulate 69 points according to their SPI ratings. They have an 18% chance of being promoted this season.

Their model, which adjusts after every game, currently tips Ipswich and Sunderland to fill the top two slots. Oxford United, Rotherham, Peterborough and Wycombe occupy the play-off positions.

FiveThirtyEight are owned by America’s ABC News and provide data-driven news and analysis.

View FiveThirtyEight’s prediction for the 2019/20 League One season

Related topics:League OneOxford UnitedRotherhamPeterborough