Doncaster could lose all its Labour MPs to Conservatives at next election, experts predict

Doncaster could have three Conservative MPs at the next General Election, experts have predicted.

By Darren Burke
Tuesday, 11th May 2021, 9:41 am
Dame Rosie Winterton and Ed Miliband.
Dame Rosie Winterton and Ed Miliband.

Ed Miliband (Doncaster North) and Dame Rosie Winterton (Doncaster Central) are both at risk of losing their seats to the Tories if the results of last week’s Hartlepool by-election are repeated in Doncaster.

Last Thursday, the Conservatives seized the seat for the first time since its creation 50 years ago, sweeping aside Labour in a stunning result.

And political experts predict that Doncaster could turn all blue by the next General Election if the same voting patterns are repeated.

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Labour’s Don Valley MP Caroline Flint was kicked out by the Conservatives’ Nick Fletcher in 2019 while both Ed Miliband and Rosie Winterton hung on – but with drastically reduced majorities.

The New Statesman says that 14 other Labour seats, mainly in the north are theoretically at-risk in a future national election.

As well as Ed and Rosie, the likes of shadow business secretary John Healey, former chief whip Jon Cruddas and Yvette Cooper, the former secretary of state would also be at risk.

Last time round, The Brexit Party split the vote, taking votes off Labour, but also splitting the vote with the Conservatives.

The New Statesman said: ”Miliband and Winterton are at-risk because of a significant 2019 Brexit Party vote in their seats. The Brexit party polled 20.4 per cent in Miliband’s seat of Doncaster North, for instance – a seat he retained by a relatively slim margin of 5.8 per cent.”

Miliband saw his majority slashed from more than 14,000 to just over 2,000, while Dame Rosie saw hers slide from just over 10,000 to 2,000.